- Gold expensive over the long term: In real terms (dollars adjusted for inflation), the average price of gold over the very long run (150 years) is around $520 an ounce against $1,391 an ounce currently, Credit Suisse says. Clearly, gold continues to be expensive over the long term average despite the sharp correction this year.
- Gold expensive against other commodities: Gold remains expensive when valued against hard assets, such as base metals and U.S. real estate, as well as against other investment classes such as US equities, Credit Suisse says.
- Global stock markets are at record highs. Besides, equities offer some dividend yield as well, which means the opportunity cost of holding gold has become too much to bear for many investors, Credit Suisse argues.
- Inflation no more a risk: Investors buy gold to hedge against inflation. However, policymakers in the developed world have failed to generate even moderate 2-2.5 per cent inflation, Credit Suisse says. So, gold as an inflation hedge is losing its charm as the prospects of a sharp move in prices remains remote. (Also read: Why 2013 may not be the year of gold)
- No imminent collapse of financial markets: The European Central Bank's commitment to preserve the euro and the determination of other leading central banks to underwrite risk and the recapitalization of financial institutions means reduced risk and thus reduced demand for insurance in the form of gold, Credit Suisse says.
- No threat to dollar: There have been numerous stories about the potential outbreak of "currency wars" amongst the major industrialized economies leading to forex instability. However, if everyone eases together, it will in theory not impact cross rates, Credit Suisse argues.
- QE coming to an end: The U.S. Federal Reserve has been printing money to shore up the U.S. economy. This liquidity has been driving up asset prices including gold. Credit Suisse says at least 435 tonnes of gold could be liquidated once the Fed withdraws quantitative easing, thereby putting further pressure on gold prices.
- Central banks are not buying gold despite falling prices and any intervention by them to support prices looks unlikely, Credit Suisse says.
- No support to gold prices from high production costs: While cost inflation across the gold mining sector has been high, the marginal cost (the change in total cost that comes from producing one additional item) is unlikely to provide support to gold price in the short to medium term, Credit Suisse says.
- Gold in bear territory: Going by the past trends, a 60 per cent retracement of the 2005 to September 2011 rally over the two and a half years would take gold back to around $1,000 an ounce (nominal) by the end of March 2014, Credit Suisse says.
Change the Dimensions......
for a faster thought process!
Monday, April 21, 2025
छाती मैं छाले, अग्नि से!
Thursday, September 26, 2024
Saturday, August 24, 2024
नवोदय!
अब जीवन मैं नवोदय हो,
उमंग का परिचय हो
जो निराकार हो चुके थे स्वप्ना,
अब उनसे परिणय हो!
प्रश्नावली के आखिरी प्रश्न,
का मुझ पर अब उत्तर हो!
संवादों की भूल भुलैयाँ मैं,
स्पश्टता का स्वर हो !
सोते हुए समय मैं,
कुछ बेचैनी पैदा हो,
ख्वावों मैं हो हलचल
अब जल्दी सुबह हो !
खो गए थे जो परिंदे,
मंज़िल उन्हें पता हो,
हवा के रुख मैं, हो दिशा
बस आशा ही आशा हो !
Monday, January 1, 2024
Interesting AI Tool- Voicify
In this era of AI, it's a job for us to remain updated, or else we are outdated.
In fact, this is a good job, something that keeps me passionate. Heard of chatgpt which is text oriented. I found a new tool that is voice-oriented. We can convert any voice and make them sign as well. OMG.. Try it out yourself!
ttps://voicify.ai/?ref=ankur
Saturday, August 5, 2023
Bharat...!
भारत सिर्फ एक देश नहीं,
गणतंत्र मैं बंधा परिवेश नहीं।
यह मानवता की मातृभूमि,
यहाँ रंग अनेक, पर द्वेष नहीं!
विज्ञान यहाँ, संज्ञान लिया,
गणित को शुन्य यहीं मिला,
सौर को हमने जाना तब,
जब विश्व था पलकें खोल रहा!
यहाँ संस्कृत थी, और संस्कृति भी,
वेद भी थे , और विवेक भी!
स्वस्थ समाज की रचना करती,
रचिंत यहीं, चरक संहिता थी !
गौरव पूर्ण इतिहास से सज्जित,
यह भारत की माटी है,
गाँधी सुभाष के बलिदानों से,
सवरी इसकी काँठी है!
पर भूल गए कुछ लोग यहाँ,
भारत की परिमल, इस गाथा को,
जले मणिपुर, लड़े हरियाणा,
बस लांघ रहे मर्यादा को!
यह भारत है जिसने, विश्व को,
सदा मानव प्रेम सिखाया है,
गंगा जमुनी तहजीब से हमने,
एक राष्ट्र प्रबल बनाया है!
आओ फिर गुंथे उन यादों को,
संवेदना की उन स्वाशों को ,
फिर, अब्दुल और अमर, मिलकर
सुलझाए विश्व की गांठों को!
Thursday, December 16, 2021
Thursday, October 7, 2021
नया सूर्योदय होने को है
जब चारो और लगे अन्धकार,
जीवन लाचार,
जैसे हर पल होता प्रहार!
कठिन पथ,
उस पर समय का बढ़ता भार
समझ लेना ,मंजिल है पास,
नया सूर्योदय होने को है,
इस पराकाष्ठा के पार!!
Wednesday, August 11, 2021
Covid-19: An Opportunity to Reinvent!
Please refer my article @ Linkedin
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/covid-19-opportunity-reinvent-profit-ankur-agrawal
Saturday, July 31, 2021
मित्रता के रंग!
मित्रता के अनेको रंग,
कोई
अतरंग, कुछ बदरंग!
एक मित्र ऐसा,
सुदामा
हो जैसा!
हो मैला कुचैला ,
पर प्रेम मैं पहला!!
एक मित्र ऐसा,
शकुनि
के जैसा!
बोल
मीठे मीठे,
तो काट पीठ पीछे!!
एक मित्र ऐसा,
कर्ण
हो जैसा!
तुमको
रखे पूरा,
खुद
रहके अधूरा!!
एक मित्र ऐसा,
बुद्धा
सा जैसा!
प्रेम
का मंथन,
आत्मा
की गुंजन!!
रंग
जैसा भी हो,
हाल
कैसा भी हो!
ढूंढ
लेना तुम मुझे,
मित्र
ऐसा ही हो!!
Thursday, July 29, 2021
बचपन की बोली!
बचपन की बोली,
वह हसीं ठिठोली!
मित्रों के संग,
कुछ आँख मिचोली!!
कागज़ की नाव,
सपनो की डोली!
मटकाते रंग,
मासूम सी होली!!
चेहरे की दमक,
आँखों की चमक!
तोतली बातें,
वह दिल की सड़क!!
अल्हड़ खेल,
चहकते बोल!
तो फिर तभी,
सहमते ढोल!!
माथे पे मेरे,
बचपन की रोली!
रोली पोली,
बचपन की बोली!!
Sunday, February 16, 2020
Entrepreneurship: Opportunities Around!
Friday, May 24, 2013
10 reasons why gold prices may hit Rs. 21000
http://profit.ndtv.com/news/cheat-sheet/article-10-reasons-why-gold-prices-may-hit-rs-21000-322600
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Capital Gains:- On sale of Property
- Long Term Capital Asset:Long term assets means any capital asset held by assessee for more than 3 Years.
- If assesee has sold the Long term capital asset during the previous year and made a long term capital gain then he can invest money of capital gain in Capital gain bonds and can save tax on long term capital gain.
- Assessee here means all type of assessees,like individual,firm company etc.
- Amount to be invested in bonds is only capital gain not net consideration received on sale of long term capital asset
- Amount exempted under this section will be amount of capital gain or amount invested in capital gain bond which ever is lower maximum upto 50Lakh
- These Bonds Maturity Period is Three years
- Capital gain bonds eligible under this section are now can be issued only by REC or NABARD
- Bonds can not be pledged ,sold transfer before completion of three years from purchase of bonds ,and in case its transferred then amount capital gain exempted on investment in these bonds will be made taxable in that previous year as Long term capital gain .
- Amount of capital gain should be invested in Capital gain bond within 6 Month from date of transfer/sale of capital asset .
Now Take second Option :Pay Capital gain Tax and Invest balance amount elsewhere .I have calculated the maturity amount at different interest rates compounded annually.The details are given Below on the basic of balance amount invested and amount at maturity at different Interest Rates.
So from the above we can say that if one can invest balance amount after payment of tax in such a way so that annual rate of return is more than 14.39%@ CAGR then it is beneficial to pay tax at one go as compare to investment in capital gain Bond otherwise he should invest in Capital gain bond and take benefit u/s 54EC .Though the rate of interest offered on capital gain Bond is just 5.75% but Internal rate of return (IRR) will come as 14.39(CAGR) due to out go of log term capital gain tax in first year @20 % plus surcharge on log term capital gain.
Now specific answer to his query
- Non eligible for section 54:section 54 is available only if log term asset sold is a residentila house property ,so Gisrish has correctly said that sec 54 is not vailable to him,as he has sold land not a residential house property.
- Non eligible for section 54F:undersection 54F ,person can avail relief from paying long term capital gain tax arises on sale of long term capital asset,if he invest net sale consideration in a house in specefied time ,but he should not own more than one house at the time of transfer of long term asset other than purchased under this section(new house).In this Case Girish owned a house on the date of transfer of the property (land) so he is not correct and eligible for section 54 F
- Capital gain with or without indexation:For sale of land there is no option for calculation of tax without indexation and pay tax at lower rate.
- Tax calculation:As you have not given month of plot purchase so I have assumed it as after march 2001 so on the basic of your tax calculation is given as under
sale price=44
indexed cost of purchase =6.5 X 582/426=8.88
capital gain=44-8.88=35.12
tax on capital gain 35.12 @ 20%=7.02 Lakh - Regarding availing relief u/s 54EF or not it depends on person to person,however necessary calculation which will be helpful in selecting right option at right time is given above.
Read more: http://www.simpletaxindia.org/2008/10/capital-gain-bond-us-54ec-vs-capital.html#ixzz0gLjSyl2k
Under Creative Commons License: Attribution